Arizona St
W-L: (15-22) PR = 97.7583Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1003 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 3- 6 1004 A Penn State B10 (20-15, 98.5) 2- 4 1010 A Notre Dame B10 ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 3 1011 A Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 5- 2 1017 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 1017 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 3- 1 1018 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 5 1018 H Alaska IND (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 1031 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 4- 1 1101 H Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 2- 5 1107 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 3- 3 1108 A Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 3 1114 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 1115 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 2 1121 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 7 1122 A Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 3- 2 1128 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 1129 A Ohio State B10 (15-20, 98.3) 4- 3 1212 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 1- 3 1213 H Minn Duluth HE (22-15, 99.3) 6- 3 1227 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 5- 1 1228 H Dartmouth ECAC (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 102 A Alaska Anch IND ( 5-23, 95.4) 7- 2 103 A Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 5- 2 109 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 1- 2 110 A Miami HE (18-16, 98.2) 1- 0 123 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 7 124 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 130 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 6- 5 131 H Colorado Col HE (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 206 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 1- 4 207 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 3- 4 213 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 6 214 H Western Mich HE (27-11, 99.7) 2- 7 220 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 2- 4 221 A Omaha HE (12-24, 97.7) 6- 3 227 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 2- 5 228 H Denver HE (27-11, 99.9) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1003 A Penn State 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.21
1004 A Penn State 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.21
1010 A Notre Dame 5- 3 2 1 1.44
1011 A Alaska 5- 2 3 0 + 2.58
1017 H Augustana 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.29
1017 H Alaska 3- 1 2 0 1.56
1018 H Augustana 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.29
1018 H Alaska 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.44
1031 H Miami 4- 1 3 0 + 3.41
1101 H Miami 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.59
1107 A Colorado Col 3- 3 0 -1 0.81
1108 A Colorado Col 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.19
1114 H North Dakota 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.18
1115 H North Dakota 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.82
1121 A Denver 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.85
1122 A Denver 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.15
1128 A Ohio State 3- 2 1 -1 1.52
1129 A Ohio State 4- 3 1 -1 1.52
1212 H Minn Duluth 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.51
1213 H Minn Duluth 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.49
1227 H Dartmouth 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.72
1228 H Dartmouth 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.28
102 A Alaska Anch 7- 2 5 2 + 2.63
103 A Air Force 5- 2 3 1 + 2.41
109 A Miami 1- 2 -1 0 -0.57
123 A North Dakota 4- 7 -3 -2 -1.16
124 A North Dakota 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.16
130 H Colorado Col 6- 5 1 -1 1.79
131 H Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.21
206 A St Cloud St 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.39
207 A St Cloud St 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.39
213 H Western Mich 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.08
214 H Western Mich 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.08
220 A Omaha 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.00
221 A Omaha 6- 3 3 0 + 3.00
227 H Denver 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.87
228 H Denver 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Alaska 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.44 1003 A Penn State 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.21 1018 H Augustana 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.29 1101 H Miami 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.59 1121 A Denver 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.85 1228 H Dartmouth 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.28 131 H Colorado Col 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.21 206 A St Cloud St 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.39 213 H Western Mich 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.08 214 H Western Mich 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.08 220 A Omaha 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 H Minn Duluth 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.49 1227 H Dartmouth 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.72 1011 A Alaska 5- 2 3 0 + 2.58 1031 H Miami 4- 1 3 0 + 3.41 1115 H North Dakota 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.82 1122 A Denver 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.15 102 A Alaska Anch 7- 2 5 2 + 2.63 103 A Air Force 5- 2 3 1 + 2.41 221 A Omaha 6- 3 3 0 + 3.00 |
Arizona St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Army | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Bentley | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Canisius | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross 2- 0 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Mercyhurst | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Niagara | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| RIT | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Rob Morris | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Sacred Heart | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | insuffient: ( 5- 4)( 4- 2) | Minnesota | |
| Notre Dame | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ohio State | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Wisconsin | |
| Augustana | Augustana | Augustana | ||
| Bemidji St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) | Arizona St | |
| Bowl Green | Arizona St | Arizona St 3- 2 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Ferris St | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Arizona St | |
| L Superor | L Superor | L Superor 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Mich Tech | Mich Tech | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Mich Tech | |
| Minn St | Minn St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Minn St | |
| No Mich | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 4) | Arizona St | |
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Alaska | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Alaska Anch | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Lindenwood | Arizona St | Arizona St 4- 4 vs 1- 2 | ||
| LIU | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Stonehill | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Arizona St | |
| Brown | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Clarkson | Arizona St | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Colgate | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Cornell | Cornell | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Harvard | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) | Quinnipiac | |
| RPI | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| St Lawrence | Arizona St | Arizona St 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Union | Union | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Union | |
| Yale | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Boston Col | Boston Col | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Boston Col | |
| Boston Univ | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Maine | Maine | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Maine | |
| UMass | UMass | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | UMass | |
| Merrimack | Arizona St | Arizona St 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Hamp | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Northeastern | Northeastern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Northeastern | |
| Providence | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Providence | |
| UMass Lowell | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Vermont | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Colorado Col | Colorado Col | Colorado Col | ||
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Miami | Arizona St | Arizona St 3- 3 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 6- 1 vs 3- 5 | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Omaha | Arizona St | Arizona St 4- 5 vs 2- 4 | ||
| St Cloud St | St Cloud St | St Cloud St | ||
| Western Mich | Western Mich | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 34
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 3- 6 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.95 -0.65
1 A Penn State (20-15, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.36 3.29 0.01 0.95 -0.65
1 A Notre Dame ( 9-23, 97.2) 5- 3 -2.71 1.94 0.01 0.95 3.72
1 A Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 5- 2 -2.58 2.07 0.01 0.95 3.98
1 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
1 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 3- 1 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 0.95 3.94
1 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 5 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
1 H Alaska (11-14, 97.3) 1- 5 -2.58 2.07 -0.01 0.95 -1.23
1 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 1 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.95 5.57
1 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 2- 5 -1.73 2.92 -0.01 0.95 -0.83
1 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 3- 3 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.95 0.00
1 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 3 -1.34 3.31 0.01 0.95 -0.64
1 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 -0.15
1 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 2 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 8.26
1 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 7 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.95 -0.00
1 A Denver (27-11, 99.9) 3- 2 -0.00 4.65 0.01 0.95 8.90
1 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 3- 2 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.95 5.79
1 A Ohio State (15-20, 98.3) 4- 3 -1.63 3.02 0.01 0.95 5.79
1 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 1- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.95 -0.31
1 H Minn Duluth (22-15, 99.3) 6- 3 -0.64 4.01 -0.01 0.95 7.64
1 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 5- 1 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 6.16
1 H Dartmouth (23- 8, 98.5) 1- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 -0.68
1 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.4) 7- 2 -4.53 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.93
1 A Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 5- 2 -2.75 1.90 0.01 0.95 3.65
1 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 2 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.95 -0.82
1 A Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 0 -1.73 2.92 0.01 0.95 5.60
1 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 4- 7 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.95 -0.14
1 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 3- 5 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.95 -0.14
1 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 6- 5 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.95 6.30
1 H Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 1- 4 -1.34 3.31 -0.01 0.95 -0.65
1 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 1- 4 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 -0.73
1 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 3- 4 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 -0.73
1 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 6 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.95 -0.11
1 H Western Mich (27-11, 99.7) 2- 7 -0.21 4.44 -0.01 0.95 -0.11
1 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 2- 4 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.95 -1.02
1 A Omaha (12-24, 97.7) 6- 3 -2.15 2.49 0.01 0.95 4.78
1 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
1 H Denver (27-11, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 4.65 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
------
71.05
|
winning pts = 82.0132 losing points = -10.9672
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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